Match Info

NORWAY: NM Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Finnmarkshallen (Alta)


	Alta		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.7
	4.33	3.8	1.6
	4.75	4.33	1.55
	4.46	4.07	1.66
	4.16	3.94	1.71
	4.75	4.4	1.5
	4.96	4.33	1.58
	5.2	3.75	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↓ (6.2)	4 ↓ (4.75)	1.61 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alta
19.8%

Draw
23%

Stabæk
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

19.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

19.5%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stabæk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alta than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stabæk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alta - Stabæk Predictions

Users Predictions: Stabæk will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Trige M. (G) 19. Overvik R. 16. Antonsen N. 30. Norbye T. 32. Andersen J. 15. Andersen M. 14. Jacobsen F. 10. Hestad T. 8. Olsen G. 23. Reginiussen C. (C) 18. Brekke P.	23. Ulla M. (G) 19. Riise F. 20. Andresen A. 4. Naess N. (C) 29. Ekorness K. 14. Roberts T. 17. Olderheim S. 6. Christensen M. 8. Hegardt C. 21. Spiten-Nysaeter O. 22. Opseth K.
Substitutes
7. Aas P. 27. Akesson G. 34. Arnason S. (G) 25. Holsbo K. 17. Holst-Larsen F. 6. Holte S. 5. Lamark J. 33. Opgard M. 20. Suhr-Stamnes T.	9. Diabate B. 10. Geelmuyden H. 26. Nysveen J. 2. Pedersen K. 1. Rossbach S. (G) 28. Tobiassen B. 7. Vinge R. E. 11. Walstad N. 27. Wendt W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Spiten-Nysaeter O. ⚽, Hegardt C. (A),
8', 1 - 1, Reginiussen C. ⚽, Hestad T. (A),
39', 1 - 2, Andresen A. ⚽, Christensen M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', Olsen G. 🟨,
55', 1 - 3, Olderheim S. ⚽,
59', Olsen G. ↓, Aas P. ↑,
59', Norbye T. ↓, Lamark J. ↑,
59', Andersen M. ↓, Suhr-Stamnes T. ↑,
59', Antonsen N. ↓, Holst-Larsen F. ↑,
62', 1 - 4, Opseth K. ⚽,
70', Overvik R. ↓, Holte S. ↑,
74', Olderheim S. ↓, Geelmuyden H. ↑,
75', Roberts T. ↓, Tobiassen B. ↑,
75', Christensen M. ↓, Wendt W. ↑,
79', Naess N. ↓, Pedersen K. ↑,
82', Spiten-Nysaeter O. ↓, Vinge R. E. ↑,
86', Holst-Larsen F. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 4, Suhr-Stamnes T. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 4, Hestad T. ⚽,
90+4', Brekke P. 🟥,

Preview

Recent matches Alta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stabæk is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Stabæk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Stabæk is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Alta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alta IF
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
28.04.24	Tromsdalen - Alta	4:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Skjervøy - Alta	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
21.04.24	Alta - Ullensaker Kisa	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Follo - Alta	4:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Kirkenes - Alta	0:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTLW
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.04.24	Åsane - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Bærum - Stabæk	0:5 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.04.24	Vålerenga - Stabæk	1:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Asker Fotball - Stabæk	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.04.24	Stabæk - Bryne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
20.06.19	Alta - Stabæk	1:4

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