Match Info

Date: 22 October 2020, Thursday


	Altai Semey		Baykonur Kyzylorda

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.2
	1.74	3.4	4.1
	1.71	3.3	4.1
	1.74	3.53	4.51
	1.91	3.2	3.7
	1.76	3.4	4.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	4.12 ↓ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altai Semey
51.2%

Draw
26.8%

Baykonur Kyzylorda
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.5%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

17.3%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altai Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Baykonur Kyzylorda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altai Semey than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altai Semey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baykonur Kyzylorda than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baykonur Kyzylorda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Altai Semey is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Baykonur Kyzylorda is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Baykonur Kyzylorda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Altai Semey is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Altai Semey won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altai Semey
Kazakh First League
19.10.20	Makhtaaral - Altai Semey	1:0 ✺
13.10.20	Arys - Altai Semey	3:3 ✺
03.10.20	Aktobe - Altai Semey	2:0 ✺
30.09.20	Batyr Ekibastuz - Altai Semey	0:0 ✺
27.09.20	Altai Semey - Kyran	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLTL
- Baykonur Kyzylorda
Kazakh First League
19.10.20	Baykonur Kyzylorda - Aktobe	0:4 ✺
16.10.20	Arys - Baykonur Kyzylorda	2:1 ✺
13.10.20	Kyran - Baykonur Kyzylorda	1:3 ✺
03.10.20	Batyr Ekibastuz - Baykonur Kyzylorda	1:2 ✺
27.09.20	Makhtaaral - Baykonur Kyzylorda	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
24.09.20	Baykonur Kyzylorda - Altai Semey	1:1

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