Match Info

First League - Round 14

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Shakhter Stadium (Ekibastyz)


	Batyr Ekibastuz		Altai Semey

	1	X	2
	4.15	4.35	1.55
	3.23	4.27	1.84	Watch
	4.25	4.33	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↓ (4.18)	4.32 ↓ (4.38)	1.66 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Batyr Ekibastuz
23.6%

Draw
21.2%

Altai Semey
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

20.6%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

22.8%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Batyr Ekibastuz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Altai Semey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Batyr Ekibastuz than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altai Semey than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altai Semey could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Batyr Ekibastuz - Altai Semey Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Altai (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sotnik I. (C) 8. Abaev F. 77. Kasain A. 13. Krasotin A. 40. Orazaly A. 54. Orazbek A. 20. Piskun A. 10. Strizhkov N. 5. Suleymenov A. 70. Usenov A. 98. Zakharenko G.	35. Aliakbar A. (G) 11. Dadaev I. 88. Ivanov S. 7. Kan G. 23. Kenzhegulov D. 17. Kukeev Z. 10. Omarbek A. 6. Redzhepov T. 8. Sapargaliyev A. (C) 5. Saylybaev O. 46. Teterin A.
Substitutes
30. Bayazit K. (G) 14. Demin I. 11. Erken A. 33. Gesler A. (G) 18. Gorizanov K. 99. Khamraev K. 87. Kulbayuly I. 16. Lunev I. 97. Nurlan A. 19. Rakhimov E. 80. Skvortsov A. 9. Vardanyan A.	47. Atykhanov R. 37. Bragin R. 91. Khizhnichenko S. 13. Malikov B. 20. Masudov S. 82. Mukhit A. 15. Nurtaev O. 77. Popov S. 1. Sapargaliev A. (G) 9. Seytkaliev A. 24. Sletov B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Kasain A. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Teterin A. ⚽, Sapargaliyev A. (A),
38', Orazbek A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Piskun A. ↓, Vardanyan A. ↑,
46', Orazaly A. ↓, Gorizanov K. ↑,
46', Teterin A. ↓, Masudov S. ↑,
46', Omarbek A. ↓, Popov S. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Suleymenov A. ⚽,
66', Abaev F. ↓, Demin I. ↑,
68', Kan G. ↓, Khizhnichenko S. ↑,
69', Dadaev I. ↓, Mukhit A. ↑,
70', Popov S. ↓, Atykhanov R. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Khizhnichenko S. ⚽,
77', Sapargaliyev A. 🟨,
77', Demin I. 🟨,
78', Strizhkov N. ↓, Erken A. ↑,
81', Usenov A. ↓, Rakhimov E. ↑,
86', Vardanyan A. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 3, Mukhit A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4).

Ekibastuz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Altai has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Altai is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ekibastuz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ekibastuz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Batyr Ekibastuz
Kazakh First League
10.07.25	Batyr Ekibastuz - Khan Tengri	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	SD Family - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:1 ✺
26.06.25	Batyr Ekibastuz - Turkistan	1:1 ✺
20.06.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Batyr Ekibastuz	5:3 ✺
12.06.25	Batyr Ekibastuz - Taraz	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTLW
- Altai Semey
Kazakh First League
11.07.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Altai Semey	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Altai Semey - Zhetisay	1:2 ✺
20.06.25	Altai Semey - AKAS	1:2 ✺
12.06.25	SD Family - Altai Semey	0:1 ✺
29.05.25	Altai Semey - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Cup
18.03.25	Altai Semey - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:1
Kazakh First League
17.10.24	Altai Semey - Batyr Ekibastuz	2:1
28.10.20	Altai Semey - Batyr Ekibastuz	0:2
30.09.20	Batyr Ekibastuz - Altai Semey	0:0

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