Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 15

Date: 11 December 2023, Monday


	Altay		Boluspor

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.65	Watch
	4.6	3.7	1.65
	5	4	1.66	Watch
	5.14	3.87	1.67
	5.14	3.87	1.68
	4.8	3.6	1.57
	4.75	3.74	1.66
	4.6	3.65	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↑ (3.49)	3.75 ↓ (3.9)	1.65 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altay
19.1%

Draw
24.7%

Boluspor
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

24.1%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

23.8%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altay's form might have worsened.

Boluspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boluspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altay than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boluspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Altay - Boluspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Altay will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Boluspor will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boluspor: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozenc O. (G) 14. Unlu T. 5. Ozdemir S. 33. Sarikaya E. 88. Ozkaya O. 21. Kizilkuyu A. 8. Yildirim Z. 17. Sarikaya S. 77. Efe O. 7. Erdogan E. 19. Paixao M.	1. Akbaba C. (G) 13. Oulare N. 5. Posmac V. 35. Isciler B. 17. Bilgic H. 8. Sonmez K. 6. Guctekin O. K. 45. Paykoc K. 21. Kayamba J. 9. Bettaieb A. 75. Diarrassouba A.
Substitutes
30. Baycan C. 32. Gezer A. 25. Gundem T. 28. Gunduz M. 35. Karatas E. (G) 34. Ogruce E. 38. Ozturk I. 3. Tekin Y. 11. Uluc M. 20. Yetkin E.	47. Artuc T. 99. Cipe I. (G) 33. Demir F. 54. Elmaci M. 10. Kinali S. 25. Kulbilge B. (G) 16. Landel G. 37. Reis E. 23. Sengul M. 97. Yerlikaya H.
Coaches
Simsek Y.	Kosukavak Y.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Altay won 2.

Altay has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Boluspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Boluspor is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Boluspor to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Altay won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Altay won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altay SK
Turkish Cup
06.12.23	Altay - Kırklarelispor	2:3 ✺
Turkish First League
03.12.23	Manisa FK - Altay	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	Çorum - Altay	3:0 ✺
11.11.23	Altay - Eyüpspor	1:7 ✺
05.11.23	Bandırmaspor - Altay	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Boluspor
Turkish Cup
06.12.23	Boluspor - Amed SK	1:0 ✺
Turkish First League
02.12.23	Boluspor - Eyüpspor	0:3 ✺
25.11.23	Umraniyespor - Boluspor	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Boluspor - Sakaryaspor	2:3 ✺
04.11.23	Gençlerbirliği - Boluspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
30.04.23	Boluspor - Altay	0:0
04.12.22	Altay - Boluspor	5:1
10.04.21	Altay - Boluspor	0:1
05.12.20	Boluspor - Altay	1:0
09.02.20	Altay - Boluspor	2:1
14.09.19	Boluspor - Altay	0:2
16.02.19	Altay - Boluspor	1:0

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