Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Manisa FK		Altay

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	8.5	Watch
	1.29	5.25	8.25
	1.3	5.5	10	Watch
	1.32	5.48	9.36
	1.31	5.48	9.37
	1.25	4.8	8
	1.29	5.15	8.9
	1.29	4.9	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.44)	5.26 ↑ (4.3)	8.8 ↑ (6.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manisa FK
71.8%

Draw
17.7%

Altay
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

21.7%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

15.3%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manisa FK's performance.

Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-26.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manisa FK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altay than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Manisa FK - Altay Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Altay will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Manisa: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uysal A. (G) 45. Karapo A. 17. Graovac D. 66. Domgjoni D. 13. Berber O. 4. Kacar T. 36. Altiparmak B. 98. Topalli J. 11. Frei K. 21. Diallo D. 91. Sandro Lima	35. Karatas E. (G) 14. Unlu T. 38. Ozturk I. 5. Ozdemir S. 88. Ozkaya O. 6. Gulselam C. 8. Yildirim Z. 21. Kizilkuyu A. 63. Kadah D. 17. Sarikaya S. 19. Paixao M.
Substitutes
26. Altunbas B. 33. Dogan F. 99. Emeksiz D. 8. Gurbulak O. 18. Kahya K. C. 31. Karabatak S. (G) 60. Karadeniz B. 9. Kiprit M. 27. Kuyucu M. 10. Tabla B.	30. Baycan C. 23. Demir M. 77. Efe O. 32. Gezer A. 25. Gundem T. 28. Gunduz M. 1. Ozenc O. (G) 33. Sarikaya E. 3. Tekin Y. 11. Uluc M.
Coaches
Ozkoylu O.	Afacan S.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Manisa is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Manisa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Manisa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
26.11.23	Eyüpspor - Manisa FK	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Manisa FK - Bandırmaspor	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Bodrumspor - Manisa FK	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
31.10.23	Manisa FK - Pazarspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish First League
29.10.23	Manisa FK - Çorum	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWT
- Altay SK
Turkish First League
26.11.23	Çorum - Altay	3:0 ✺
11.11.23	Altay - Eyüpspor	1:7 ✺
05.11.23	Bandırmaspor - Altay	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
01.11.23	Altay - Aliaga	2:1 ✺
Turkish First League
29.10.23	Altay - Sakaryaspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
25.03.23	Altay - Manisa FK	1:3
15.10.22	Manisa FK - Altay	1:1
Turkish Cup
30.11.21	Altay - Manisa FK	4:2
09.09.15	Manisa FK - Altay	2:0

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