Match Info

3. Lig Group 4 - Round 20

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadium (Izmir)


	Altay		Bornova

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.45
	1.84	3.4	4.63
	1.99	3.38	3.45	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.77	3.99	3.78
	1.8	2.9	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.94)	3.4 ↓ (3.7)	3.96 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altay
49.8%

Draw
27%

Bornova
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

24.8%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

25.1%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Bornova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altay than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bornova than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Altay - Bornova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Kaymaz M. ⚽, Ozdemir S. (A),
82', 2 - 0, Baycan C. ⚽, Sarikaya Y. (A),
85', 3 - 0, Kavlak U. ⚽, Sarikaya Y. (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 11)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bornova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Altay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Altay won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Altay	29	8	7	14	27:41	-14	25
14	Bornova 1877	29	5	6	18	34:64	-30	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altay SK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
31.01.26	Eskişehirspor - Altay	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Altay - Denizli İY Güreller	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Ayvalıkgücü - Altay	4:0 ✺
10.01.26	Altay - Uşak Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Afjet Afyonspor - Altay	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW
- Bornova FK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
25.01.26	Izmir Çoruhlu - Bornova	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Bornova - Eskişehir Anadolu	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Alanya 1221 - Bornova	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Balikesirspor - Bornova	1:1 ✺
17.12.25	Bornova - Kutahyaspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.1 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 4
04.10.25	Bornova - Altay	1:1

Altay - Bornova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide