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Current Win Probability
Altay 27.4%
Draw 27.9%
Trabzonspor 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.3%
23.7%
58%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.2%
19.7%
69.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altay's performance.
Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trabzonspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altay than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altay that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+25.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trabzonspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.8%
5.5%
81.7%
Altay - Trabzonspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
Trabzonspor will win
(89 of 109 users predict this - 81.65%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.38% – 88.92%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification)).
Altay has the most likely position - 17 (13.97%), has project points - 40, has currently - 18, has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Trabzonspor has the most likely position - 1 (85.92%), has project points - 84, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (95%), has a good chance of win league (86%).
Recent matches Altay is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Trabzonspor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Trabzonspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Trabzonspor will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Altay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Altay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Watch
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