Match Info

Super Lig - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Papara Park (Trabzon)

Referee: Kardesler A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Trabzonspor		Gaziantep

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.8
	1.73	3.79	4.48
	1.76	3.86	4.85
	4.43	3.11	1.93	Watch
	1.72	3.88	4.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.65)	3.71 ↓ (4.01)	4.23 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trabzonspor
47.7%

Draw
27.8%

Gaziantep
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23.8%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

22.7%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trabzonspor's form might have worsened.

Gaziantep has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gaziantep's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trabzonspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gaziantep, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Trabzonspor - Gaziantep Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 3 - 60%). Gaziantep (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (4.72) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Trabzonspor will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Onana A. (G) 11. Tufan O. 20. Pina W. 15. Savic S. 44. Batagov A. 19. Eskihellac M. 22. Zubkov O. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 70. Olaigbe K. 10. Muci E. 30. Onuachu P.	71. Bozan M. (G) 2. Perez L. 23. Sanuc T. T. 14. Abena M. 77. Rodrigues K. 6. Kabasakal M. 5. Ndiaye B. 18. Sorescu D. 10. Kozlowski K. 32. Kabadayi Y. 44. Maxim A.
Substitutes
23. Baniya R. 80. Baskan B. 77. Bosluk A. 25. Cevikkan O. (G) 99. Felipe Augusto 92. Ince T. E. 74. Malkocoglu S. 29. Saatci S. 14. Sikan D. 7. Visca E.	7. Bacuna J. 9. Bayo M. 3. Camara D. 20. Gorgen Z. (G) 17. Guler S. 4. Kizildag A. 27. Kulasin E. 11. Lungoyi C. 61. Ozcicek O. 30. Sangare N.
Coaches
Tekke F.	Yilmaz B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Ndiaye B. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Rodrigues K. ⚽, Maxim A. (A),
45+1', Kabadayi Y. ↓, Bayo M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Batagov A. ↓, Baniya R. ↑,
46', Muci E. ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
50', Eskihellac M. 🟨,
57', Olaigbe K. ↓, Visca E. ↑,
58', Sanuc T. T. 🟨,
67', Ndiaye B. ↓, Ozcicek O. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Onuachu P. ⚽, Onana A. (A),
71', Tufan O. ↓, Malkocoglu S. ↑,
73', Pina W. 🟨,
77', Kozlowski K. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
78', Sanuc T. T. ↓, Guler S. ↑,
78', Sorescu D. ↓, Kulasin E. ↑,
78', Zubkov O. ↓, Bosluk A. ↑,
90+1', Camara D. 🟨,
90+6', Kulasin E. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 4.

Trabzonspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Gaziantep has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Trabzonspor is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Trabzonspor: Bouchouari B. (Inactive) Nwakaeme A. (Muscle Injury) Pina W. (Injury) Sikan D. (Inactive) Yokuslu O. (Red Card)

There will not play in Gaziantep: Ablak A. (Knee Injury) M'Bakata S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Trabzonspor won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Trabzonspor won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trabzonspor
Turkish Super League
14.09.25	Fenerbahçe - Trabzonspor	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Trabzonspor - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Trabzonspor - Antalyaspor	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor	0:1 ✺
11.08.25	Trabzonspor - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWWW
- Gaziantep FK
Turkish Super League
14.09.25	Gaziantep - Kocaelispor	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Kasımpaşa - Gaziantep	2:3 ✺
23.08.25	Gaziantep - Gençlerbirliği	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Konyaspor - Gaziantep	3:0 ✺
08.08.25	Gaziantep - Galatasaray	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
23.02.25	Trabzonspor - Gaziantep	3:2
23.09.24	Gaziantep - Trabzonspor	0:0
28.04.24	Trabzonspor - Gaziantep	4:2
10.12.23	Gaziantep - Trabzonspor	1:3
18.09.22	Trabzonspor - Gaziantep	3:2
09.04.22	Gaziantep - Trabzonspor	0:0
22.11.21	Trabzonspor - Gaziantep	3:0

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