Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Nordost - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Altglienicke		Plauen

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.8	7
	1.33	5	7.5
	1.35	5.14	7
	1.34	4.97	7.06
	1.31	4.9	7.55
	1.33	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.69)	4.97 ↑ (3.75)	7.27 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altglienicke
68.9%

Draw
18.5%

Plauen
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24.2%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

25.2%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altglienicke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altglienicke's performance.

Plauen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plauen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altglienicke than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altglienicke that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plauen than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plauen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Altglienicke - Plauen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Ozturk E. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 14).

Recent matches Altglienicke is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Plauen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Plauen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Altglienicke is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VSG Altglienicke
German Regionalliga Nordost
01.11.24	Chemnitzer - Altglienicke	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Altglienicke - Greifswald	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Hertha Zehlendorf - Altglienicke	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Altglienicke - Berliner FC Dynamo	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Chemie Leipzig - Altglienicke	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTWW
- Plauen
German Regionalliga Nordost
03.11.24	Plauen - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Luckenwalde - Plauen	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Chemnitzer - Plauen	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Plauen - Greifswald	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Hertha Zehlendorf - Plauen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.3 LWWWT

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