Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Nordost - Round 14

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Plauen		Rot-Weiß Erfurt

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	1.98
	3.4	3.75	1.95
	3.37	3.82	1.95
	3.23	3.81	1.94
	3.45	3.81	1.83
	3.4	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.16)	3.74 ↑ (3.5)	1.93 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plauen
27.8%

Draw
24.6%

Rot-Weiß Erfurt
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

26%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

27.3%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plauen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Rot-Weiß Erfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plauen than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Erfurt than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Plauen - Rot Weiß Erfurt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Maluze J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 0 - 2, Wolf M. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Trager E. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 7).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Rot-Weiß Erfurt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rot-Weiß Erfurt will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Plauen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Plauen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plauen
German Regionalliga Nordost
27.10.24	Luckenwalde - Plauen	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Chemnitzer - Plauen	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Plauen - Greifswald	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Hertha Zehlendorf - Plauen	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Plauen - Berliner FC Dynamo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.3 WWWTL
- Rot-Weiß Erfurt
German Regionalliga Nordost
27.10.24	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Chemnitzer	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Greifswald - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Hertha Zehlendorf	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Babelsberg	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Berliner FC Dynamo - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
06.03.22	Plauen - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:2
03.10.20	Plauen - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2:3

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