Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Altona		St. Pauli II

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.6	2.15
	2.98	3.63	2.14
	2.94	3.57	2.15
	2.9	3.3	2.15
	2.93	3.52	2.1
	2.5	3.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.49)	3.52 ↓ (3.78)	2.16 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altona
31.8%

Draw
25.9%

St. Pauli II
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

24.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

23.2%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

St. Pauli II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altona than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Altona - St. Pauli II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Schmitz M. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, Ambrosius M. K. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Regionalliga North (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altona won 2.

Altona has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, St. Pauli II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Altona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Altona won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Altona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	St. Pauli II	11	3	1	7	20:21	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altonaer FC von 1893
German Regionalliga North
29.04.26	SC Weiche-08 - Altona	4:1 ✺
26.04.26	Drochtersen Assel - Altona	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Altona - Blau-Weiß Lohne	3:2 ✺
15.04.26	Altona - Oldenburg	0:4 ✺
11.04.26	Schöningen - Altona	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL
- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
25.04.26	St. Pauli II - Hannover II	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Phönix Lübeck - St. Pauli II	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Oldenburg - St. Pauli II	4:1 ✺
11.04.26	Kickers Emden - St. Pauli II	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	St. Pauli II - Hannoverscher SC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
19.10.25	St. Pauli II - Altona	2:4
Club Friendly
14.01.23	Altona - St. Pauli II	1:0
German Regionalliga North
13.02.22	St. Pauli II - Altona	1:0
03.10.21	Altona - St. Pauli II	2:2
04.10.20	Altona - St. Pauli II	1:2
08.09.19	Altona - St. Pauli II	2:1
12.05.18	St. Pauli II - Altona	2:0

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