The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Pauli II 48%
Draw 24.3%
Hannoverscher SC 27.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.9%
19.7%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
19.2%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Pauli II's performance.
Hannoverscher SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hannoverscher SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Pauli II that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannoverscher SC than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hannoverscher SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
St. Pauli II - Hannoverscher SC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 1 - 0, Sabah H. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Diedhiou A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
54', 2 - 1, Wurr H. ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, Bode N. ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, Dittmann M. ⚽,
83', 3 - 3, Wardius J. ⚽,
86', 3 - 4, Bode N. ⚽,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 16th in the Regionalliga North (Relegation) and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli II won 4.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
HSC may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to St. Pauli II for this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, St. Pauli II has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 18:6 (averaging 3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for St. Pauli II against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 13:3 goals (averaging 4.3:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Hannoverscher SC
15
4
5
6
23:32
-9
17
14
St. Pauli II
14
4
1
9
27:29
-2
13
Last Results with these Odds
St. Pauli II - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 37.91%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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