Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 3

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Felipe Raulino (Altos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Disney+


	Altos		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	6	3.9	1.45
	6.6	4	1.44
	7.08	4	1.47
	6.74	3.96	1.46	Watch
	7	3.8	1.44
	7.13	4	1.41	Watch
	6.6	4	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.74 ↓ (7)	3.95 ↓ (4.14)	1.44 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Altos
13.6%

Draw
23.1%

Fortaleza
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

21.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

21.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altos than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Altos - Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Careca (G) 4. Alberte 8. Dieguinho 11. Felipe Sales 6. Jefferson Vinicius 3. Joecio (C) 7. Jonathan 19. Lucas Reis 5. Marcos Antonio 10. Reinaldo 2. Rodrigo Negueba	1. Joao Ricardo (G) 32. Avila G. 26. Breno Lopes 10. Calebe 23. David Luiz 16. Diogo Barbosa 88. Lucas Sasha 20. Matheus Rossetto 79. Renato Kayzer 2. Tinga (C) 22. Yago Pikachu
Substitutes
17. Cleiton 18. Digao 21. Gean 14. Leozidio 24. Lucas Ferreira (G) 15. Ray Silva 9. Rodrigao 20. Samuel Santos 13. Savio Maciel 12. Vinicius Rodrigues (G)	77. Andrade K. 27. Borrero D. 12. Brenno (G) 5. Fernandez P. 13. Kuscevic B. 9. Lucero J. 14. Mancuso E. 21. Moises 28. Pedro Augusto 7. Pochettino T. 4. Titi 17. Ze Welison

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Lucas Sasha ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Ze Welison ⚽,
53', Dieguinho ↓, Savio Maciel ↑,
67', Felipe Sales ↓, Cleiton ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Lucas Reis ⚽,
71', Renato Kayzer ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
71', Calebe ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
73', Lucas Reis ↓, Rodrigao ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Rodrigao ⚽,
82', Avila G. 🟨,
84', Yago Pikachu ↓, Moises ↑,
84', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Altos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fortaleza is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Altos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fortaleza is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Altos won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Altos won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Atlética de Altos
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
08.02.25	Altos - Ríver PI	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.25	Altos - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
31.01.25	Fluminense Piaui - Altos	0:0 ✺
27.01.25	Altos - Atlético Piauiense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.01.25	Sousa - Altos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTTTL
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
08.02.25	Fortaleza - Ceará	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.25	Sport Recife - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
01.02.25	Floresta - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
30.01.25	Fortaleza - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
27.01.25	Fortaleza - Cariri	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
21.04.24	Fortaleza - Altos	5:0
05.03.22	Altos - Fortaleza	1:1
11.03.17	Fortaleza - Altos	1:1
05.02.17	Altos - Fortaleza	1:1

Upcoming Matches