Match Info

SLOVENIA: 2. SNL - Round 7

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Sportni park Aluminij (Kidricevo)


	Aluminij Kidricevo		Jadran Dekani

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	3.75
	1.7	3.79	4.26
	1.76	3.9	4.16	Watch
	1.72	3.68	4.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.12)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	4.07 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aluminij Kidricevo
53%

Draw
24.5%

Jadran Dekani
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

24.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

23.9%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aluminij Kidricevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aluminij Kidricevo's performance.

Jadran Dekani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jadran Dekani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aluminij Kidricevo than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aluminij Kidricevo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jadran Dekani than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jadran Dekani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aluminij Kidricevo - Jadran Dekani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 and 4).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Aluminij could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Jadran Dekani have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aluminij won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Aluminij won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aluminij Kidricevo
Slovenian 2 SNL
14.09.24	Tolmin - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:1 ✺
06.09.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Krka	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Bilje - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:0 ✺
23.08.24	Aluminij Kidricevo - Tabor Sežana	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Drava Ptuj - Aluminij Kidricevo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW
- Jadran Dekani
Slovenian Cup
18.09.24	Jadran Dekani - Koper	1:8 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
14.09.24	Jadran Dekani - Dravinja	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Jadran Dekani - Slovan Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Tolmin - Jadran Dekani	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Jadran Dekani - Krka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
21.04.23	Jadran Dekani - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:2
07.10.22	Aluminij Kidricevo - Jadran Dekani	4:1
Slovenian Cup
19.09.17	Jadran Dekani - Aluminij Kidricevo	0:7

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