Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 6

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Alverca B		Nogueirense

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.10	3.70
	1.85	3.25	3.60
	1.83	3.21	3.73
	1.88	3.42	3.71	Watch
	1.79	3.10	3.65
	1.83	3.38	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.27)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	3.69 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca B
48.3%

Draw
27.5%

Nogueirense
24.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27.8%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alverca B's performance.

Nogueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nogueirense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Alverca B - Nogueirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 11th in the Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group (Relegation Group: ) and 8th).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Nogueirense	6	1	4	1	8:10	-2	7
10	Alverca B	6	2	0	4	10:7	3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
11.10.26	Oliveira Hospital - Alverca B	3:1 ✺
27.09.26	Alverca B - Fazendense	5:0 ✺
13.09.26	Naval - Alverca B	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Alverca B - SB Castelo Branco	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
18.04.26	Alverca B - Comércio e Indústria	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLW
- AD Nogueirense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
11.10.26	Nogueirense - Naval	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	SB Castelo Branco - Nogueirense	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Nogueirense - União da Serra	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Nogueirense - Naval	1:3 AET ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
16.08.26	Nogueirense - Sertanense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWTLT

Alverca B - Nogueirense