Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 17

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Alzira		Buñol

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.98	3
	1.34	4.47	8.96	Watch
	2.3	2.88	3
	2.26	3	3.07
	2.25	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.84)	3.29 ↑ (3.15)	4.21 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alzira
46.9%

Draw
29.8%

Buñol
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.9%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

28.9%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alzira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alzira's performance.

Buñol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Buñol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alzira than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alzira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buñol than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buñol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alzira - Buñol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Alzira has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Buñol is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alzira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Alzira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	CD Bunol	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Alzira
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.01.26	Utiel - Alzira	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Alzira - Vall de Uxó	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Español de San Vicente - Alzira	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alzira - Roda	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	Recambios Colón - Alzira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWLL
- CD Buñol
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.01.26	Buñol - Español de San Vicente	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Roda - Buñol	1:2 ✺
17.12.25	Buñol - Recambios Colón	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Torrellano - Buñol	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	Buñol - Levante B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
24.03.18	Alzira - Buñol	0:3
01.11.17	Buñol - Alzira	0:0

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