Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Alzira		Roda

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.92	3.55
	1.22	5.23	14.01	Watch
	2.07	3	3.5
	2.14	3.05	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.14)	3.55 ↑ (3.05)	6.09 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alzira
54.5%

Draw
28.7%

Roda
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

25.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alzira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alzira's performance.

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alzira than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alzira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alzira - Roda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Franco H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
62', 1 - 1, Marza D. ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Agudo I. ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Leo Rodriguez ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, Agudo I. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Roda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Roda has had a series of home games.

Alzira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Alzira
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.11.25	Recambios Colón - Alzira	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Alzira - Torrellano	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Levante B - Alzira	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Alzira - Castellonense	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Alzira - Atzeneta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLLW
- CD Roda
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
15.11.25	Roda - Español de San Vicente	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Roda - Atlético Saguntino	2:4 ✺
01.11.25	Recambios Colón - Roda	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Roda - Granada	1:5 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
25.10.25	Roda - Torrellano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTLT

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