Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 12

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Arena Gregorão (Contagem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	América Mineiro		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	8.25	4.33	1.32
	9.8	4.9	1.26
	12.77	5.32	1.24
	12.35	4.99	1.28	Watch
	11.2	4.9	1.24
	9.8	4.9	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.7 ↑ (6.8)	4.89 ↑ (4)	1.27 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
8.6%

Draw
18.8%

Corinthians
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

22.8%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

22%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corinthians's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corinthians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

América Mineiro - Corinthians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Taluane (G) 3. Ana Clara 5. Ana Flavia 9. Gadu 15. Iara 6. Ilana 23. Jaja 16. Lais 30. Mimi (C) 55. Pimenta 11. Radija	1. Nicole (G) 9. Andressa Alves 27. Duda Sampaio 30. Jaqueline Ribeiro 40. Jhonson 22. Juliete 3. Leticia Teles 20. Silva Mariza 5. Thais Ferreira 17. Vic Albuquerque (C) 8. Yaya
Substitutes
14. Arias E. 29. Daise 20. Keka (G) 28. Mariana Fausto 4. Mayara 13. Portugal 10. Rafa Levis 8. Sassa 7. Soraya 1. Taina (G) 2. Vitoria	94. Ariel 99. Erika 11. Eudimilla 10. Gabi Zanotti 24. Kemelli (G) 19. Leticia Monteiro 21. Paulinha 7. Robledo G. 31. Rodriguez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Leticia Teles ↓, Erika ↑,
63', Yaya ↓, Gabi Zanotti ↑,
73', Radija ↓, Arias E. ↑,
73', Pimenta ↓, Soraya ↑,
74', Jhonson ↓, Ariel ↑,
74', Jaqueline Ribeiro ↓, Eudimilla ↑,
82', Ilana ↓, Vitoria ↑,
83', Lais 🟨,
83', 🟨,
84', Iara ↓, Sassa ↑,
84', Ana Flavia ↓, Rafa Levis ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Andressa Alves ⚽,
86', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
88', Andressa Alves ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

América MG is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Corinthians is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Corinthians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, América MG has had a series of away games.

In this match, Corinthians is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, América MG won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro Women
Brasileiro Women
18.05.25	Real Brasilia - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - América Mineiro	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	América Mineiro - Fluminense	3:1 ✺
30.04.25	São Paulo - América Mineiro	1:3 ✺
27.04.25	Sport Recife - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 TLWWW
- Corinthians Women
Brasileiro Women
17.05.25	Corinthians - Sport Recife	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
14.05.25	Santos - Corinthians	0:3 ✺
Brasileiro Women
11.05.25	Ferroviária - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
07.05.25	Corinthians - Red Bull Bragantino	4:0 ✺
Brasileiro Women
04.05.25	Corinthians - Bahia	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
21.03.24	Corinthians - América Mineiro	4:1

América Mineiro - Corinthians: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide