Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Globoplay, N Sports, SporTV, TV Brasil, UOL Play


	Corinthians		Bahia

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.25	7.50
	1.27	5	7.6
	1.33	4.93	8.16
	1.33	5	8.1	Watch
	1.31	4.85	8.05
	1.31	5.42	6.27
	1.29	5.2	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)	5.09 ↑ (4.7)	7.64 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
70.1%

Draw
17.9%

Bahia
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

19.5%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

18.6%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Corinthians - Bahia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nicole (G) 25. Aquino B. 33. Duda Mineira 27. Duda Sampaio 10. Gabi Zanotti 23. Gi Fernandes 9. Jhonson 37. Tamires 5. Thais Ferreira 4. Thais Regina (C) 17. Vic Albuquerque	12. Yanne (G) 28. Cassia 2. Dan 5. Gomez A. (C) 97. Isa Fernandes 13. Mila Santos 27. Raquel 17. Roqueline 7. Rosa W. 10. Sena Taty 64. Tchula
Substitutes
8. Andressa Alves 11. Ariel 2. Barroso A. 20. Garcia P. 13. Ivana Fuso 30. Jaqueline Ribeiro 22. Juliete 12. Lele (G) 32. Rillary (G) 7. Robledo G. 31. Rodriguez D.	11. Dani 71. Eduarda Tosti 20. Ellen Santana 9. Gica 88. Helo 22. Isa Cruz (G) 96. Ju Oliveira 19. Kamper Rodrigues M. 77. Suelen 70. Terra M. 8. Treyci 18. Vilma

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 🟨,
24', 🟨,
28', 🟨,
34', 🟥,
41', 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 6th in the Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4.

Corinthians is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Bahia have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Corinthians holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:4 (averaging 2.6:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Corinthians against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:1 goals (averaging 3:0.3 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians Women
Brasileiro Women
15.09.26	Bahia - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
07.09.26	Corinthians - Cruzeiro	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Cruzeiro - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
26.08.26	Corinthians - Taubaté	6:2 ✺
Brasileiro Women
22.08.26	Corinthians - Internacional	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL
- EC Bahia Women
Brasileiro Women
15.09.26	Bahia - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Baiano Women
07.09.26	Jacuipense - Bahia	0:5 ✺
Brasileiro Women
04.09.26	Palmeiras - Bahia	1:2 penalties ✺
31.08.26	Bahia - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Juventude - Bahia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
15.09.26	Bahia - Corinthians	0:1
15.08.26	Bahia - Corinthians	1:1
15.08.25	Corinthians - Bahia	2:0
09.08.25	Bahia - Corinthians	1:2
04.05.25	Corinthians - Bahia	5:1
12.06.23	Bahia - Corinthians	1:5
30.05.21	Corinthians - Bahia	2:0

Corinthians - Bahia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide