Match Info

Stars League - Round 6

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Iraq	Iraqia Syriac


	Amanat Baghdad		Najaf

	1	X	2
	3.55	2.98	2.02
	3.53	2.99	2.08
	2.64	3.05	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.64)	3.01 ↑ (2.99)	2.22 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amanat Baghdad
28.3%

Draw
30.5%

Najaf
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

30.2%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

29.2%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amanat Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amanat Baghdad's form might have worsened.

Najaf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Najaf's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amanat Baghdad than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Amanat Baghdad - Najaf Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Najaf (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Najaf (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Niang I. ⚽,
90+7', Abidi H. 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amanat Baghdad won 1.

Recent performances by Amanat Baghdad have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Najaf is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Amanat Baghdad won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Amanat Baghdad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amanat Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
26.10.25	Al-Naft - Amanat Baghdad	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Amanat Baghdad - Naft Maysan	4:1 ✺
26.09.25	Al-Qasim - Amanat Baghdad	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Amanat Baghdad - Al Mosul	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Amanat Baghdad - Diyala	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLL
- Najaf
Iraqi Premier League
26.10.25	Najaf - Al-Talaba	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Al-Minaa - Najaf	4:2 ✺
26.09.25	Al Mosul - Najaf	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Najaf - Diyala	0:1 ✺
15.09.25	Arbil - Najaf	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
23.04.24	Najaf - Amanat Baghdad	1:1
14.12.23	Amanat Baghdad - Najaf	1:2
17.06.22	Amanat Baghdad - Najaf	2:1
05.02.21	Amanat Baghdad - Najaf	0:1
14.07.19	Amanat Baghdad - Najaf	1:1
27.06.13	Amanat Baghdad - Najaf	0:3

Amanat Baghdad - Najaf: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide