Match Info

Stars League - Round 1

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday

Location: Franso Hariri Stadium (Arbil)


	Arbil		Najaf

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	2.62	2.98	2.58
	2.79	2.20	3.65	Watch
	2.64	3.21	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.11)	2.87 ↓ (3.15)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arbil
36.7%

Draw
32.3%

Najaf
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28.9%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arbil's form might have worsened.

Najaf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Arbil - Najaf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Fadhil Abbas A. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Temirov S. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Zero A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 2, ⚽,
76', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 1.

Arbil could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Arbil won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbil
Iraqi Premier League
04.07.25	Naft Al-Basra - Arbil	4:3 ✺
29.06.25	Arbil - Al-Karkh	1:3 ✺
25.06.25	Arbil - Duhok	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Arbil	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Arbil - Newroz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWWL
- Najaf
Iraqi Cup
08.07.25	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Najaf	3:1 ✺
Iraqi Premier League
03.07.25	Najaf - Al-Talaba	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Naft Maysan - Najaf	3:1 ✺
18.06.25	Najaf - Zakho	0:0 ✺
13.06.25	Duhok - Najaf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
19.02.25	Najaf - Arbil	1:2
30.10.24	Arbil - Najaf	0:0
26.06.24	Arbil - Najaf	1:1
22.02.24	Najaf - Arbil	1:1
15.10.21	Arbil - Najaf	0:0
24.06.19	Arbil - Najaf	0:0

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