Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Amarante		Vila Real

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.1	6.25
	1.4	4	5.8
	1.47	4	5.6
	1.47	4.37	6.57
	1.45	4.2	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)	4.13 ↑ (4.11)	6.09 ↓ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amarante
63.1%

Draw
22%

Vila Real
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.9%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

22.6%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Vila Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Preview

Amarante is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vila Real is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Amarante is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Amarante to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Amarante won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Amarante won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.04.22	Amarante - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Amarante - Berço	2:1 ✺
03.04.22	Vila Real - Amarante	0:6 ✺
20.03.22	Tirsense - Amarante	0:2 ✺
06.03.22	Berço - Amarante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWWT
- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.04.22	Berço - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Tirsense - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Vila Real - Amarante	0:6 ✺
20.03.22	Vila Real - Berço	3:1 ✺
06.03.22	Mirandela - Vila Real	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.04.22	Vila Real - Amarante	0:6
19.12.21	Vila Real - Amarante	2:2
29.08.21	Amarante - Vila Real	3:3

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