Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 18

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Tirsense		Vila Real

	1	X	2
	1.88	3	3.8
	1.95	3.05	3.9
	1.82	3.25	4.37
	1.79	3.17	4.85
	1.84	3.15	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.17)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	4.22 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirsense
49.2%

Draw
29.2%

Vila Real
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.3%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27.6%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tirsense's performance.

Vila Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vila Real might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tirsense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vila Real could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tirsense - Vila Real Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, Reis A. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tirsense won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tirsense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tirsense won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 0.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Tirsense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.02.25	Joane - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Tirsense - Bragança	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Tirsense	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Tirsense - Rebordosa	3:3 ✺
05.01.25	Tirsense - Os Sandinenses	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLTW
- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.02.25	Vila Real - Pevidem	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Vianense - Vila Real	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Brito - Vila Real	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Vila Real - Joane	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Vila Real - Bragança	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
29.09.24	Vila Real - Tirsense	1:1
07.04.24	Vila Real - Tirsense	1:0
17.12.23	Tirsense - Vila Real	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.05.22	Vila Real - Tirsense	0:0
10.04.22	Tirsense - Vila Real	1:0
29.01.22	Tirsense - Vila Real	4:2
31.10.21	Vila Real - Tirsense	0:0

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