Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 11

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	America SP		SKA Brasil

	1	X	2
	3.93	3.26	1.83
	3.62	3.2	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (2.94)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	1.9 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

America SP
24.1%

Draw
28.1%

SKA Brasil
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

29.2%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

29.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

America SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that America SP's form might have worsened.

SKA Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SKA Brasil's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for America SP than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for America SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Brasil than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SKA Brasil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 11).

America SP is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches SKA Brasil is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- America SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
06.03.24	Penapolense - America SP	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	America SP - VOCEM	0:1 ✺
28.02.24	Rio Branco de Americana - America SP	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Barretos - America SP	0:0 ✺
21.02.24	America SP - Independente de Limeira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTT
- SKA Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
06.03.24	SKA Brasil - Jabaquara	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	SKA Brasil - Penapolense	3:1 ✺
28.02.24	XV de Jaú - SKA Brasil	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Joseense - SKA Brasil	2:0 ✺
21.02.24	SKA Brasil - VOCEM	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTLL

America SP - SKA Brasil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide