Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 6

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday


	Americano Rio de Janeiro		Petrópolis

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.68	3	2.62
	2.63	3.06	2.63	Watch
	2.58	3.08	2.52
	2.68	3	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.21)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)	2.68 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Americano Rio de Janeiro
35.6%

Draw
30.3%

Petrópolis
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.6%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.6%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Americano Rio de Janeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Americano Rio de Janeiro's form might have worsened.

Petrópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Americano Rio de Janeiro than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Americano Rio de Janeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petrópolis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Americano Rio de Janeiro - Petrópolis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Americano (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Americano (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Americano (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Americano might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Americano won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Americano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Americano Rio de Janeiro
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
04.06.25	Resende - Americano Rio de Janeiro	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Cabofriense	1:1 ✺
26.05.25	Pérolas Negras - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Araruama	3:1 ✺
17.05.25	São Gonçalo - Americano Rio de Janeiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTTWL
- Petrópolis FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
04.06.25	Petrópolis - Araruama	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	America RJ - Petrópolis	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Petrópolis - Audax Rio	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	Petrópolis - Olaria	0:4 ✺
17.05.25	Duque de Caxias - Petrópolis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
23.06.24	Petrópolis - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:1
27.05.23	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Petrópolis	1:1
16.07.22	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Petrópolis	0:0
26.06.21	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Petrópolis	1:0

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