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Current Win Probability
Resende 42.6%
Draw 33.2%
Americano Rio de Janeiro 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
31%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
31.9%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Resende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Americano Rio de Janeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resende than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Americano Rio de Janeiro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Resende - Americano Rio de Janeiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, Vitor J. ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Resende is Qualified for Carioca 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Americano is Qualified for Carioca 2 (Play Offs Semi~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Resende won 1.
Resende is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Americano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Resende will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Resende won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Resende won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Americano Rio de Janeiro - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.02%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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