The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amkar Perm 69.3%
Draw 19.2%
Nosta Novotroitsk 11.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.8%
19.7%
12.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.6%
18.7%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amkar Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Nosta Novotroitsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amkar Perm than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nosta Novotroitsk than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Amkar Perm - Nosta Novotroitsk Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kolesov N. (G) 14. Chushyalov D. 97. Goldobin N. 20. Kalayda D. 9. Kotik A. 33. Myrzakov K. 44. Sukhoruchenko M. 30. Takazov S. 7. Tyukalov E. 3. Zhilov I. 77. Zuev D.
16. Nelyubov N. (G) 21. Abramov V. 13. Boyko D. 11. Dorofeev I. 7. Dzyon V. 19. Popov I. 12. Sarapultsev K. 23. Ssorin D. 28. Ssorin V. 20. Telenkov N. 15. Vereshchak P.
Substitutes
11. Dibirgadzhiev D. 38. Gorbunov M. 66. Konakov S. 21. Nikiforenko E. 10. Potorocha V. 45. Pridyuk A. 15. Sherstobitov D. 70. Shoronov R. 6. Tolkachev L. 99. Vasiljev V. (G)
10. Akvazba M. 1. Bakirov B. (G) 14. Bubnov A. 17. Galkin V. 30. Khasyanov A. 24. Medvedev D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Tyukalov E. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Zhilov I. ⚽,
22', Takazov S. 🟨,
26', 3 - 0, Chushyalov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sarapultsev K. ↓, Khasyanov A. ↑,
48', 4 - 0, Kalayda D. ⚽,
51', Ssorin V. 🟨,
56', Zhilov I. ↓, Konakov S. ↑,
56', Zuev D. ↓, Tolkachev L. ↑,
63', Abramov V. ↓, Galkin V. ↑,
64', Sukhoruchenko M. ↓, Pridyuk A. ↑,
64', Boyko D. ↓, Medvedev D. ↑,
68', Tyukalov E. ↓, Dibirgadzhiev D. ↑,
71', 5 - 0, Goldobin N. ⚽,
73', Kotik A. ↓, Gorbunov M. ↑,
73', Dorofeev I. ↓, Bubnov A. ↑,
81', Popov I. 🟨,
88', Telenkov N. ↓, Akvazba M. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ) and 9).
Amkar is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Nosta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Amkar is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Amkar will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amkar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Amkar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).