Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Khimik Stadium (Dzerzhinsk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Khimik Dzerzhinsk		Amkar Perm

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.68	2.78	Watch
	2.54	3.5	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.42)	3.59 ↑ (3.45)	2.66 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimik Dzerzhinsk
37.4%

Draw
26.7%

Amkar Perm
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

26.9%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

26.2%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Amkar Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimik Dzerzhinsk than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amkar Perm than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Amkar Perm Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Amkar (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Amkar (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Amkar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
83', 0 - 1, Korolkov K. ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, Doronin S. ⚽,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Savinov A. (Pen),
1, Zuev D. (Pen),
2, Weber D. (Pen),
2, Kotik A. (Pen),
3, Trofimov O. (Pen),
3, Kalayda D. (Pen),
4, Plotnikov D. (Pen),
4, Myrzakov K. (Pen),
5, Gruznov I. (Pen),

Preview

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Amkar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Khimik Dzerzhinsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Khimik Dzerzhinsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
17.08.25	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Rubin 2 Kazan	3:1 ✺
10.08.25	Nosta Novotroitsk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2:5 ✺
03.08.25	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	0:3 ✺
27.07.25	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Volna Kovernino - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW
- Amkar Perm
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
17.08.25	Volna Kovernino - Amkar Perm	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Amkar Perm - KDV Tomsk	2:3 ✺
03.08.25	Orenburg-2 - Amkar Perm	5:1 ✺
27.07.25	Amkar Perm - Chelyabinsk 2	3:1 ✺
06.07.25	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Amkar Perm	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
01.06.25	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Amkar Perm	1:2

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