Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio del Conero (Ancona)


	Ancona		Recanatese

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.55	4.05
	1.75	3.59	4.22	Watch
	1.81	3.44	3.91
	1.78	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.57)	3.52 ↑ (3.25)	4.05 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ancona
51.6%

Draw
25.9%

Recanatese
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

27.7%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ancona's form might have worsened.

Recanatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Recanatese's recent form is better than expected.

Ancona - Recanatese Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ancona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Ancona (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ancona (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Ancona is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ancona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ancona could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ancona won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ancona won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie D - Group F
28.09.25	Castelfidardo - Ancona	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Ancona - San Marino Calcio	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Atletico Ascoli - Ancona	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Ancona - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.25	Forlì - Ancona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWLT
- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie D - Group F
24.09.25	L Aquila - Recanatese	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Recanatese - Termoli	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sammaurese - Recanatese	1:4 ✺
07.09.25	Recanatese - Notaresco	1:4 ✺
27.04.25	Civitanovese - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
02.03.25	Recanatese - Ancona	3:2
Italian Serie C Group B
23.03.24	Recanatese - Ancona	2:0
18.11.23	Ancona - Recanatese	2:0
23.04.23	Recanatese - Ancona	4:0
17.12.22	Ancona - Recanatese	4:0

Ancona - Recanatese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide