The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Siena 39.2%
Draw 27.4%
Ancona 33.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.1%
26.5%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
26.8%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Siena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siena than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Siena - Ancona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Tittocchia E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
64', 2 - 0, Nardi N. ⚽,
71', 2 - 1, Cocola N. ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, Pupo Posada Y. ⚽,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siena won 0.
Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Siena has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:7 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Siena against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.3:0.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Ancona - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.4%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.