Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 10

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht)

Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Anderlecht		Standard Liège

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5	Watch
	1.58	4.2	5.5
	1.58	4.2	5.3
	1.65	4.26	5.39
	1.65	3.92	4.92	Watch
	1.6	4.14	5.57	Watch
	1.6	4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.56)	4.1 ↓ (4.13)	5.3 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anderlecht
58.9%

Draw
23.1%

Standard Liège
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

22.9%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

22.3%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Anderlecht - Standard Liège Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Standard (4.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Anderlecht (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Anderlecht will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Standard (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Coosemans C. (C) 54. Sardella K. 3. Hey L. 55. Kana M. 6. Augustinsson L. 13. Saliba N. 74. De Cat N. 21. Huerta Valera C. S. 11. Hazard T. 19. Angulo N. 20. Vazquez L.	1. Epolo M. (C) 18. Lawrence H. 25. Hautekiet I. 20. Karamoko I. 7. Mohr T. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 94. Nielsen C. 11. Abid A. 10. Eckert Ayensa D. 17. Said R. 9. Henry T.
Substitutes
7. Camara I. 9. Cvetkovic M. 83. Degreef T. 15. Ilic M. 16. Kikkenborg M. (G) 24. Llansana E. 5. N'Diaye M. 58. Ozcan Y. 10. Verschaeren Y.	22. Calut A. 27. El Hankouri M. 24. Homawoo J. 14. Kuavita L. 8. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 19. Mitongo R. 59. Nkada T. 21. Pirard L. (G) 6. Sahabo H.
Coaches
Hasi B.	Euvrard V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Angulo N. 🟨,
33', Hautekiet I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Huerta Valera C. S. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
52', Sardella K. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
52', Vazquez L. ↓, Cvetkovic M. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Cvetkovic M. ⚽,
64', Abid A. ↓, Kuavita L. ↑,
64', Eckert Ayensa D. ↓, Nkada T. ↑,
68', Augustinsson L. 🟨,
74', Said R. ↓, Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↑,
74', Ilaimaharitra M. ↓, Sahabo H. ↑,
76', De Cat N. ↓, Llansana E. ↑,
80', Mohr T. ↓, Calut A. ↑,
81', Karamoko I. 🟨,
89', Angulo N. ↓, N'Diaye M. ↑,
90', Karamoko I. 🟨,
90+1', Saliba N. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 3.

Anderlecht has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Standard's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Anderlecht is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Anderlecht: Bertaccini A. (Inactive) Keita Z. (Injury) Maamar A. (International duty)

There will not play in Standard: Bates D. (Knee Injury) Fossey M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Anderlecht: Dao E. (Injury) Sardella K. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.09.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Anderlecht	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Anderlecht - Gent	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Anderlecht - Royal Antwerp	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Anderlecht - Genk	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWTTL
- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.09.25	Standard Liège - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Westerlo - Standard Liège	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Standard Liège - KV Mechelen	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Standard Liège - Cercle Brugge	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.03.25	Standard Liège - Anderlecht	0:2
06.10.24	Anderlecht - Standard Liège	3:0
10.12.23	Anderlecht - Standard Liège	2:2
Belgian Cup
07.12.23	Anderlecht - Standard Liège	2:0
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.10.23	Standard Liège - Anderlecht	3:2
26.02.23	Anderlecht - Standard Liège	2:2
23.10.22	Standard Liège - Anderlecht	3:1

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