Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 32

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN


	Anderlecht		Gent

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.98	3.65	3.55	Watch
	1.97	3.78	3.82
	5.34	3.59	1.67	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.5
	1.95	3.74	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (1.92)	3.63 ↓ (3.88)	3.33 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anderlecht
41%

Draw
28.3%

Gent
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

24.6%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

25.1%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anderlecht's form might have worsened.

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gent's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anderlecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gent, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Anderlecht - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Gent will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Heekeren J. (G) 79. Maamar A. 55. Kana M. 93. Diarra M. 6. Augustinsson L. 13. Saliba N. 24. Llansana E. 29. Stroeykens M. 74. De Cat N. 11. Hazard T. (C) 9. Cvetkovic M.	33. Roef D. (C) 4. Hashioka D. 57. Volckaert M. 44. Van Der Heyden S. 8. Skoras M. 27. De Vlieger T. 22. Lopes L. 20. Araujo T. 24. Hong Hyun-Seok 21. Dean M. 7. Kanga W.
Substitutes
91. Bertaccini A. 77. da Costa C. 83. Degreef T. 3. Hey L. 61. Nga K. 23. Rits M. 54. Sardella K. 33. Seghers M. (G) 10. Verschaeren Y.	75. Cisse I. 29. Duverne J. 45. Goore H. 15. Ito A. 37. Kadri A. 10. Omgba A. 30. Peersman K. (G) 11. Sonko M. 54. Vernemmen H.
Coaches
Taravel J.	De Mil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Kanga W. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Skoras M. 🟨,
43', De Cat N. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Kadri A. ↑,
67', Stroeykens M. ↓, Degreef T. ↑,
67', Llansana E. ↓, da Costa C. ↑,
78', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Verschaeren Y. ⚽,
80', Dean M. ↓, Goore H. ↑,
88', Skoras M. ↓, Duverne J. ↑,
88', Kanga W. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
89', Cvetkovic M. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Degreef T. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 1, Bertaccini A. ⚽,
90+7', Bertaccini A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 4.

Anderlecht is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gent is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Anderlecht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 1.8:0.5).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Gent: 10.67% Anderlecht: 4.86%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Gent	7	6	1	0	13:4	9	19
5	Anderlecht	8	5	1	2	9:6	3	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.04.26	Club Brugge - Anderlecht	4:2 ✺
22.03.26	Anderlecht - Cercle Brugge	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Club Brugge - Anderlecht	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Anderlecht - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLTW
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.04.26	Gent - KV Mechelen	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Dender EH - Gent	1:3 ✺
13.03.26	Gent - Zulte Waregem	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Gent - KV Mechelen	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Genk - Gent	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.01.26	Gent - Anderlecht	4:2
Belgian Cup
15.01.26	Anderlecht - Gent	1:0
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.09.25	Anderlecht - Gent	1:0
27.04.25	Gent - Anderlecht	0:1
23.04.25	Anderlecht - Gent	5:0
02.02.25	Gent - Anderlecht	1:0
24.11.24	Anderlecht - Gent	6:0

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