The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Andratx 24%
Draw 31.4%
Reus FC Reddis 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.9%
31.5%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26%
29%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andratx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
The chances for Reus FC Reddis have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andratx than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reus FC Reddis than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Vaz R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 1, Sanchez I. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Benito A. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Andratx is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Reus FCR has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Reus FCR will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Andratx won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Reus FC Reddis - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.63%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.