Match Info

Date: 28 July 2021, Wednesday


	Angra dos Reis		Petrópolis

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.38
	2.8	2.95	2.3
	3.1	3.44	2.11
	2.75	3	2.37
	3.2	3.13	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.45)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)	2.27 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Angra dos Reis
30.9%

Draw
29.3%

Petrópolis
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

28.3%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

21.6%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angra dos Reis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Petrópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petrópolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angra dos Reis than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Angra dos Reis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petrópolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Angra dos Reis is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Gonçalense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Angra dos Reis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Angra dos Reis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Angra dos Reis EC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
24.07.21	Artsul - Angra dos Reis	1:0 ✺
21.07.21	Angra dos Reis - Americano Rio de Janeiro	0:0 ✺
17.07.21	Friburguense - Angra dos Reis	1:1 ✺
26.06.21	Angra dos Reis - Audax Rio	0:1 ✺
19.06.21	Angra dos Reis - Macaé	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTTLL
- Petrópolis FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
24.07.21	Petrópolis - Maricá	0:0 ✺
21.07.21	Audax Rio - Petrópolis	5:1 ✺
17.07.21	Petrópolis - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0 ✺
26.06.21	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Petrópolis	1:0 ✺
20.06.21	Petrópolis - Cabofriense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.11.20	Angra dos Reis - Petrópolis	2:1

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