Match Info

Copa Rio - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday


	Petrópolis		Maricá

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.25	1.65
	3.45	3.35	1.9
	3.5	3.54	1.93
	3.57	3.56	1.90	Watch
	3.91	3.19	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.61)	3.38 ↑ (3.04)	1.87 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrópolis
23.8%

Draw
27.1%

Maricá
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

29.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

29.6%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Maricá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrópolis than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maricá than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Petrópolis - Maricá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Pablo Thomaz ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, Oliver ⚽,
17', 0 - 3, Pablo Thomaz ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', 🟥,
64', 🟥,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Petrópolis won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Maricá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Petrópolis has had a series of away games.

In this match, Maricá is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Petrópolis won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Petrópolis won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrópolis FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
12.07.25	Bangu - Petrópolis	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	São Gonçalo - Petrópolis	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Petrópolis - Resende	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Cabofriense - Petrópolis	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Petrópolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TTTTL
- Maricá FC
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Maricá	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Maricá - Portuguesa	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Nova Iguaçu - Maricá	1:3 ✺
05.07.25	Maricá - Boavista	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Pouso Alegre - Maricá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
01.06.24	Maricá - Petrópolis	4:1
24.06.23	Maricá - Petrópolis	1:2
18.05.22	Petrópolis - Maricá	0:0
21.08.21	Petrópolis - Maricá	1:0
24.07.21	Petrópolis - Maricá	0:0
03.10.20	Maricá - Petrópolis	1:1

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