Match Info

Carioca C - Round 11

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday


	Angra dos Reis		Santa Cruz RJ

	1	X	2
	7.4	5.62	1.23
	2.44	3.36	2.64	Watch
	9.45	5.55	1.23
	7.75	4.85	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.76 ↓ (7.35)	4.85 ↓ (5.25)	1.6 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Angra dos Reis
15.1%

Draw
21.1%

Santa Cruz RJ
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

17.4%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

16.2%

75.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angra dos Reis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Santa Cruz RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Cruz RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angra dos Reis than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz RJ than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,
89', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Angra dos Reis has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Santa Cruz RJ is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Santa Cruz RJ is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Angra dos Reis EC
Brazilian Carioca C
20.07.25	EC Vera Cruz - Angra dos Reis	3:1 ✺
13.07.25	Angra dos Reis - Mesquita	Canceled ✺
04.07.25	Riostrense - Angra dos Reis	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	Angra dos Reis - Barcelona RJ	3:2 ✺
22.06.25	Búzios - Angra dos Reis	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 L?LWW
- Santa Cruz RJ
Brazilian Carioca C
20.07.25	Santa Cruz RJ - Riostrense	4:3 ✺
14.07.25	Barcelona RJ - Santa Cruz RJ	0:10 ✺
06.07.25	Santa Cruz RJ - Búzios	3:2 ✺
03.07.25	Paraty - Santa Cruz RJ	3:3 ✺
29.06.25	Santa Cruz RJ - Duque Caxiense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWTW

Angra dos Reis - Santa Cruz RJ: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide