Match Info

Carioca C - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday


	Santa Cruz RJ		Riostrense

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.05	4.8
	1.11	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.76	3.88	3.66
	1.76	3.88	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.77)	3.2 ↓ (3.6)	3.28 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz RJ
51.4%

Draw
24.6%

Riostrense
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.1%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

24%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Riostrense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz RJ than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riostrense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Santa Cruz RJ - Riostrense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Cruz RJ (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Jorge Eduardo ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Vini Souza ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Pitel ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
51', 2 - 2, Gabriel (Pen),
57', 3 - 2, Kaike ⚽,
59', 4 - 2, Pitel ⚽,
84', 5 - 2, Jorge Eduardo ⚽,
89', 6 - 2, Lyrio P. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Santa Cruz RJ is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Riostrense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Santa Cruz RJ is the team to beat.

We predict that Santa Cruz RJ will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz RJ won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Santa Cruz RJ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz RJ
Brazilian Carioca C
24.08.25	Riostrense - Santa Cruz RJ	1:3 ✺
27.07.25	Angra dos Reis - Santa Cruz RJ	3:2 ✺
20.07.25	Santa Cruz RJ - Riostrense	4:3 ✺
14.07.25	Barcelona RJ - Santa Cruz RJ	0:10 ✺
06.07.25	Santa Cruz RJ - Búzios	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW
- Riostrense EC
Brazilian Carioca C
24.08.25	Riostrense - Santa Cruz RJ	1:3 ✺
03.08.25	Juventus RJ - Riostrense	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	Riostrense - CAAC Brasil	6:1 ✺
20.07.25	Santa Cruz RJ - Riostrense	4:3 ✺
13.07.25	Riostrense - EC Vera Cruz	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca C
24.08.25	Riostrense - Santa Cruz RJ	1:3
20.07.25	Santa Cruz RJ - Riostrense	4:3

Santa Cruz RJ - Riostrense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide