Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 23

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Angrense		Esperança de Lagos

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	1.9
	4.1	3	1.8
	4.48	3.14	1.88
	4.2	3.3	1.84
	3.55	3.3	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.59)	3.19 ↑ (3.09)	1.87 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Angrense
22.9%

Draw
28.5%

Esperança de Lagos
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

29.5%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

27.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angrense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Esperança de Lagos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angrense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esperança de Lagos than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Esperança de Lagos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Angrense - Esperança de Lagos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Angrense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Esperança de Lagos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Angrense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Esperança de Lagos will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Angrense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Angrense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.03.23	Imortal - Angrense	3:0 ✺
04.03.23	Angrense - Praiense	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Angrense	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Angrense - Oriental Dragon	2:3 ✺
12.02.23	Olhanense - Angrense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Esperança de Lagos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.03.23	Esperança de Lagos - Atlético CP	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Serpa - Esperança de Lagos	2:4 ✺
26.02.23	Esperança de Lagos - Lusitano GC	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Juventude de Évora - Esperança de Lagos	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Esperança de Lagos - Ferreiras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.22	Esperança de Lagos - Angrense	0:0

Angrense - Esperança de Lagos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide