Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 21

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Serpa		Esperança de Lagos

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.85	2.87
	2.5	2.96	3
	2.46	2.9	2.95
	2.44	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.14)	2.9 ↓ (3.07)	2.93 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serpa
37.4%

Draw
31.5%

Esperança de Lagos
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.4%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

29.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Esperança de Lagos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serpa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esperança de Lagos than the current prediction. (-3%)

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Serpa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Esperança de Lagos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Serpa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Serpa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Serpa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.23	Imortal - Serpa	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Serpa - Praiense	1:2 ✺
12.02.23	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Serpa	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Serpa - Oriental Dragon	0:1 ✺
01.02.23	Rabo de Peixe - Serpa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLL
- Esperança de Lagos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.23	Esperança de Lagos - Lusitano GC	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Juventude de Évora - Esperança de Lagos	1:0 ✺
12.02.23	Esperança de Lagos - Ferreiras	1:1 ✺
05.02.23	Esperança de Lagos - Imortal	3:2 ✺
29.01.23	Praiense - Esperança de Lagos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.11.22	Esperança de Lagos - Serpa	1:3
26.02.22	Serpa - Esperança de Lagos	3:1
03.10.21	Esperança de Lagos - Serpa	2:0

Serpa - Esperança de Lagos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide