Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Angust Nazran		Pobeda Khasavyurt

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.50	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↓ (3.97)	3.5 ↓ (3.58)	1.88 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Angust Nazran
24.3%

Draw
26.4%

Pobeda Khasavyurt
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

26.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

26.7%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angust Nazran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Pobeda Khasavyurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angust Nazran than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Pobeda Khasavyurt aligns with the current prediction.

Angust Nazran - Pobeda Khasavyurt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Zaynanov K. ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 4th).

Angust is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Pobeda is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this matchup, Pobeda is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Pobeda in today's match, at odds of 1.93.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Angust has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:6 (averaging 0:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Angust against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:3 goals (averaging 0:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	FK Pobeda	24	13	3	8	46:32	14	42
13	Angust Nazran	24	5	4	15	11:27	-16	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Angust Nazran
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
26.09.26	Angust Nazran - Astrakhan	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Nart Cherkessk - Angust Nazran	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Angust Nazran - Spartak Nalchik	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Druzhba Maykop - Angust Nazran	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Angust Nazran - FC Sevastopol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pobeda Khasavyurt
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
26.09.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Spartak Nalchik	4:3 ✺
20.09.26	Dynamo Makhachkala 2 - Pobeda Khasavyurt	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Astrakhan	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Rostov 2 - Pobeda Khasavyurt	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
29.06.25	Angust Nazran - Pobeda Khasavyurt	0:1
13.04.25	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Angust Nazran	2:0
31.08.24	Angust Nazran - Pobeda Khasavyurt	0:2
Russian Cup
31.07.24	Pobeda Khasavyurt - Angust Nazran	1:0

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