The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pobeda Khasavyurt 46%
Draw 28%
Spartak Nalchik 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
28.7%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
28.1%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pobeda Khasavyurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Spartak Nalchik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pobeda Khasavyurt than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Spartak Nalchik aligns with the current prediction.
Pobeda Khasavyurt - Spartak Nalchik Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Nasibov M. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Nasibov M. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 0, Vagabov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
71', 4 - 0, ⚽,
80', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pobeda won 3.
Pobeda is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Spartak N has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Spartak N has had a run of games away from home.
Pobeda is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Pobeda in today's match, at odds of 2.05.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Pobeda has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 10:7 (averaging 1.7:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pobeda against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).