Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 31

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Ankara Demirspor		Erbaaspor

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.4	3.8
	1.83	3.5	4
	1.81	3.46	4.06	Watch
	1.78	3.55	3.91
	1.83	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.21)	3.48 ↑ (3.42)	3.95 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankara Demirspor
50.6%

Draw
26.2%

Erbaaspor
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

26.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

27.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankara Demirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ankara Demirspor's performance.

Erbaaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erbaaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankara Demirspor than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ankara Demirspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erbaaspor than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erbaaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ankara Demirspor - Erbaaspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Zeren B. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Dama A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 3 - 0, Payal G. (Own goal),
52', 4 - 0, Tutcuoglu G. ⚽,
79', 4 - 1, Payal G. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 2, Istemi M. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ankara Demirspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ankara Demirspor is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ankara Demirspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ankara Demirspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
06.04.25	Arnavutköy - Ankara Demirspor	3:2 ✺
02.04.25	Derince Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:2 ✺
26.03.25	Ankara Demirspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Menemenspor - Ankara Demirspor	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Ankara Demirspor - Elazığspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTLTW
- Erbaaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
02.04.25	Nazillispor - Erbaaspor	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Erbaaspor - Arnavutköy	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Erbaaspor	2:5 ✺
16.03.25	Erbaaspor - Menemenspor	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Elazığspor - Erbaaspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
30.11.24	Erbaaspor - Ankara Demirspor	2:1

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