Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 27

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Erbaaspor		Menemenspor

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.7	1.63
	4.5	3.8	1.67
	4.46	3.55	1.72
	4.96	3.74	1.59
	4.5	3.8	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.77)	3.72 ↑ (3.25)	1.66 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erbaaspor
20.2%

Draw
24.6%

Menemenspor
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

28%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.6%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erbaaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Menemenspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Menemenspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erbaaspor than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Menemenspor than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Menemenspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Erbaaspor - Menemenspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Menemenspor will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Can Koc S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Erbaaspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Menemen is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Erbaaspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Menemen is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Erbaaspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erbaaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
09.03.25	Elazığspor - Erbaaspor	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Erbaaspor - Vanspor	1:4 ✺
16.02.25	Erbaaspor - Derince Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Erbaaspor	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Erbaaspor - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWTW
- Menemenspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
08.03.25	Menemenspor - Arnavutköy	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Menemenspor	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Menemenspor - Elazığspor	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Vanspor - Menemenspor	2:2 ✺
08.02.25	Menemenspor - Nazillispor	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
03.11.24	Menemenspor - Erbaaspor	2:0

Erbaaspor - Menemenspor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide