Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)


	Ankaragücü		Karacabey Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.3	2.88
	2.31	3.3	3.03
	1.01	15.10	25.00	Watch
	2.24	3.15	3.15	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.96)	5.59 ↑ (3.14)	7.26 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankaragücü
59.5%

Draw
22.9%

Karacabey Belediyespor
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

27.9%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankaragücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ankaragücü's performance.

Karacabey Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karacabey Belediyespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (-30%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ankaragücü that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+24.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karacabey Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ankaragücü - Karacabey Belediyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ankaragücü will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Karacabey Bld (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ankaragücü will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ankaragücü (votes: 3 - 75%). Karacabey Bld (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Tekdemir M. ⚽,
67', 2 - 0, Simsek M. ⚽, Tekdemir M. (A),

Preview

Ankaragücü is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Karacabey Bld's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Second League White Group
05.10.25	Batman Petrolspor - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Ankaragücü - Altınordu	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Ankaragücü	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Ankaragücü - Elazığspor	1:4 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.09.25	Ankaragücü - Karabük İdmanyurdu	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWLL
- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
05.10.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Elazığspor	0:3 ✺
28.09.25	Adana 1954 - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - 24 Erzincanspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
16.09.25	Beykoz İshaklı - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
Turkish Second League White Group
13.09.25	Iskenderunspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWW

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