Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 5

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Antonis Papadopoulos Stadium (Larnaca) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Menelaos A. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Cyprus	18:00	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Serbia	17:00	Arena Sport 1x2


	Anorthosis		Paphos

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.50	1.70
	4.4	3.45	1.7
	4.38	3.6	1.83
	5.2	3.94	1.62	Watch
	4.3	3.4	1.8
	4.44	3.49	1.79	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↓ (6.5)	3.55 ↓ (4.1)	1.74 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anorthosis
20.9%

Draw
26%

Paphos
53.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.3%

22.7%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

21.8%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anorthosis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Anorthosis's performance.

Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paphos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anorthosis than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Anorthosis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paphos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Anorthosis - Paphos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Karlstrom J. (G) 20. Aboagye C. 4. Artymatas K. 88. Chrysostomou A. 9. Da Cruz A. 45. Gabriel Furtado 5. Kiko 7. Kiss T. 36. Middendorp S. 22. Sergiou K. 44. Tosic N.	99. Majecki R. (G) 20. Biel 4. David Luiz (C) 30. Dragomir V. 14. Ioannou N. 18. Lele 3. Mmaee S. 88. Pepe 8. Quina D. 26. Sunjic I. 2. Zague Y.
Substitutes
57. Charalambous E. 18. Charalampous S. 11. Dione B. 70. Ilia M. 47. Karamanolis A. 74. Lytras K. 54. Michalas C. 1. Panagi K. (G) 51. Panagi S. (G) 21. Rafa Lopes 32. Sosa Vivaldi F. E. 2. Thandi S.	33. Anderson Silva 50. Brito A. 77. Correia J. 60. Evzonas C. 10. Felipe Baxola 6. Guga 23. Noro J. 71. Papastylianou M. (G) 17. Patrao A. 82. Petrou P. (G) 12. Sema K.
Coaches
El Maestro N.	Sa Pinto R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Sunjic I. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Da Cruz A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', 1 - 1, Zague Y. ⚽,
48', 1 - 2, Lele ⚽,
56', David Luiz 🟨,
57', 1 - 3, Lele ⚽,
63', Kiss T. ↓, Rafa Lopes ↑,
63', Middendorp S. ↓, Thandi S. ↑,
71', Pepe ↓, Guga ↑,
71', Dragomir V. ↓, Bruno ↑,
74', Chrysostomou A. 🟨,
76', Chrysostomou A. ↓, Dione B. ↑,
80', Quina D. ↓, Brito A. ↑,
80', Biel ↓, Sema K. ↑,
81', Thandi S. 🟨,
85', Zague Y. ↓, Correia J. ↑,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 12th in the Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 6th in the Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anorthosis won 0.

In recent outings, Anorthosis has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Paphos shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Anorthosis may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Anorthosis has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Paphos is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Anorthosis: Bergstrom E. (Heel Injury).

Confirmed absences for Paphos: Jaja (Knee Injury) Kyriakidis C. (Arm Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Paphos: Brito A. (Inactive) Correia J. (Muscle Injury) Mammadov M. (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Anorthosis has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:27 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Anorthosis against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:13 goals (averaging 1.3:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Pafos	7	3	3	1	7:3	4	12
9	Anorthosis	7	2	0	5	6:13	-7	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anorthosis Famagusta
Club Friendly
04.10.26	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Anorthosis	0:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
19.09.26	Nea Salamis - Anorthosis	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Anorthosis - APOEL	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Apollon Limassol - Anorthosis	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	AEL Limassol - Anorthosis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLL
- Paphos FC
Cypriot First Division
18.09.26	Paphos - AEL Limassol	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	AEK Larnaca - Paphos	0:1 ✺
07.09.26	Paphos - Olympiacos Nicosia	0:0 ✺
Cypriot Super Cup
03.09.26	Omonia - Paphos	0:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
30.08.26	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Paphos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
21.02.26	Paphos - Anorthosis	0:0
09.11.25	Anorthosis - Paphos	1:1
02.01.25	Anorthosis - Paphos	0:2
14.09.24	Paphos - Anorthosis	3:1
21.04.24	Paphos - Anorthosis	5:1
10.03.24	Anorthosis - Paphos	2:3
04.02.24	Anorthosis - Paphos	2:2

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