Match Info

Super Cup - Final

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Limassol)

Referee: Christodoulou I. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Omonia TV


	Omonia		Paphos

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.10	2.75
	2.25	3.05	2.80
	2.53	3.37	2.68
	2.44	3.38	2.79
	2.5	3.25	2.6
	2.49	3.28	2.69	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (1.76)	3.22 ↓ (3.45)	2.71 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omonia
37.9%

Draw
28.4%

Paphos
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

25.9%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omonia's form might have worsened.

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paphos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omonia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paphos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

Omonia - Paphos Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Omonia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Fabiano (C) 93. Duverne J. 5. Coulibaly S. 27. Simic S. 29. Balkovec J. 74. Andreou P. 14. Maric M. 21. Mayambela M. 22. Tankovic M. 7. Montnor J. 99. Diony L.	99. Majecki R. (G) 7. Bruno 4. David Luiz (C) 5. Goldar D. 14. Ioannou N. 88. Pepe 26. Sunjic I. 13. Moumi Ngamaleu N. 30. Dragomir V. 8. Quina D. 18. Lele
Substitutes
20. Brouwers L. 10. Chatzigiovanis A. 82. Christou A. 11. Costa Ewandro 9. Kakoullis A. 1. Kaminski T. (G) 90. Konstantinidis C. 78. Michail P. (G) 77. Nego L. 28. Odubajo M. 37. Satka L. 17. Tanase F.	33. Anderson Silva 20. Biel 60. Efzona C. 6. Guga 72. Ioannou K. 61. Kais M. 42. Michael G. 3. Mmaee S. 71. Papastylianou M. (G) 82. Petrou P. (G) 12. Sema K. 2. Zague Y.
Coaches
Berg H.	Sa Pinto R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Dragomir V. 🟨,
15', Ioannou N. 🟨,
32', Simic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Moumi Ngamaleu N. 🟨,
65', Balkovec J. 🟨,
74', 0 - 1, Lele ⚽,
76', Duverne J. 🟨,
81', Lele 🟨,
90+3', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
90+3', Sunjic I. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Omonia won 5.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Paphos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Omonia won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:19. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Omonia won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.5:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omonia Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
31.08.26	Omonia - Omonia Aradippou	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Omonia - Sint-Truidense	4:2 ✺
20.08.26	Sint-Truidense - Omonia	1:0 ✺
13.08.26	Omonia - Lincoln Red Imps	1:0 ✺
06.08.26	Lincoln Red Imps - Omonia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLWT
- Paphos FC
Cypriot First Division
30.08.26	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Paphos	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Paphos - Dinamo City	4:2 AET ✺
20.08.26	Dinamo City - Paphos	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Paphos - Red Bull Salzburg	3:3 ✺
06.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Paphos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
06.05.26	Paphos - Omonia	0:2
04.04.26	Omonia - Paphos	2:0
08.02.26	Paphos - Omonia	2:4
27.10.25	Omonia - Paphos	2:1
26.04.25	Omonia - Paphos	3:0
29.03.25	Paphos - Omonia	3:1
01.03.25	Omonia - Paphos	2:1

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