Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Ansbach		Greuther Fürth II

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.6	2.2
	2.83	3.46	2.22
	2.79	3.63	2.21
	2.8	3.25	2.2
	2.84	3.4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.49)	3.47 ↓ (3.7)	2.21 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ansbach
32.4%

Draw
26.3%

Greuther Fürth II
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

24.3%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

23.7%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ansbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Greuther Fürth II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ansbach than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth II than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Ansbach - Greuther Fürth II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Seefried N. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Hack P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
86', 2 - 1, Krois P. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 1, Mata K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ansbach won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ansbach may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ansbach won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:11. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ansbach won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Furth II	11	3	2	6	15:18	-3	11
17	Ansbach	11	3	1	7	10:25	-15	10

Last Results with these Odds

Ansbach - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.1%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spvgg Ansbach 09
German Regionalliga Bayern
25.04.26	Schwaben Augsburg - Ansbach	1:3 ✺
21.04.26	Ansbach - Memmingen	1:3 ✺
17.04.26	Bayern Munich II - Ansbach	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Ansbach - Hankofen-Hailing	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Buchbach - Ansbach	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWL
- Greuther Fürth II
German Regionalliga Bayern
26.04.26	Greuther Fürth II - Würzburger Kickers	1:5 ✺
21.04.26	Wacker Burghausen - Greuther Fürth II	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Greuther Fürth II - Unterhaching	5:2 ✺
11.04.26	Greuther Fürth II - Memmingen	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Nürnberg II - Greuther Fürth II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
25.10.25	Greuther Fürth II - Ansbach	2:2
12.04.25	Ansbach - Greuther Fürth II	0:0
13.11.24	Greuther Fürth II - Ansbach	1:1
04.11.23	Greuther Fürth II - Ansbach	3:4
28.07.23	Ansbach - Greuther Fürth II	2:2
19.11.22	Ansbach - Greuther Fürth II	3:1
30.07.22	Greuther Fürth II - Ansbach	2:1

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