Match Info

Turkish Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Corendon Airlines Park (Antalya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	A Spor


	Antalyaspor		Bursaspor

	1	X	2
	1.05	15	23
	1.12	7.5	14.5
	1.08	9.07	22.24	Watch
	1.05	14.9	23	Watch
	1.48	4.3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.32)	10.15 ↑ (4.97)	17.59 ↑ (7.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antalyaspor
84.8%

Draw
9.7%

Bursaspor
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

18.4%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

15.6%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antalyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Antalyaspor's performance.

Bursaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bursaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (-26%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antalyaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bursaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Antalyaspor - Bursaspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Antalyaspor (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - Antalyaspor (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Bursaspor (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Antalyaspor will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Antalyaspor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Antalyaspor (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Bursaspor (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Safuri R. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Cvancara T. ⚽, Boli Y. (A),
60', 3 - 0, Boli Y. ⚽, Safuri R. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 3.

Antalyaspor has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bursaspor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Antalyaspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Antalyaspor is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Antalyaspor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antalyaspor
Turkish Super League
26.10.25	Antalyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:4 ✺
19.10.25	Gaziantep - Antalyaspor	3:2 ✺
03.10.25	Antalyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor	2:5 ✺
28.09.25	Fenerbahçe - Antalyaspor	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Antalyaspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Bursaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
25.10.25	Bursaspor - Muş Spor	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Bursaspor - Menemenspor	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Kırklarelispor - Bursaspor	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Bursaspor - Isparta 32 Spor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
12.01.21	Bursaspor - Antalyaspor	0:3
Turkish Super League
10.05.19	Antalyaspor - Bursaspor	0:1
09.12.18	Bursaspor - Antalyaspor	0:2
31.03.18	Antalyaspor - Bursaspor	2:0
29.10.17	Bursaspor - Antalyaspor	4:0
20.05.17	Antalyaspor - Bursaspor	2:1
19.12.16	Bursaspor - Antalyaspor	2:1

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