Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Timsah Arena (Bursa)


	Bursaspor		Menemenspor

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.65	6.7
	1.36	5.63	6.3
	1.09	7.28	25.00	Watch
	1.34	4.4	8
	1.33	4.45	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.58)	5.28 ↑ (3.9)	10.84 ↑ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bursaspor
73.2%

Draw
18%

Menemenspor
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

23.4%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

24.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bursaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bursaspor's performance.

Menemenspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Menemenspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bursaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Menemenspor than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Menemenspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bursaspor - Menemenspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bursaspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Furat E. I. ⚽, Cam S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
85', 2 - 0, Turker H. ⚽,
90+9', 3 - 0, Cam S. ⚽, Turker H. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bursaspor won 2.

Recent performances by Bursaspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Menemen is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bursaspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Menemen has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bursaspor is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bursaspor won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bursaspor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bursaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.10.25	Kırklarelispor - Bursaspor	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Bursaspor - Isparta 32 Spor	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Adanaspor - Bursaspor	0:6 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.09.25	Karadeniz Ereğli - Bursaspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
13.09.25	Bursaspor - Arnavutköy	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWW
- Menemenspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.10.25	Menemenspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Menemenspor - Muş Spor	4:1 ✺
21.09.25	Kırklarelispor - Menemenspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.09.25	Menemenspor - Eskişehir Anadolu	2:1 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
13.09.25	Menemenspor - Isparta 32 Spor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
19.04.23	Bursaspor - Menemenspor	1:1
13.11.22	Menemenspor - Bursaspor	0:1
Turkish First League
21.05.22	Bursaspor - Menemenspor	1:0
25.12.21	Menemenspor - Bursaspor	0:0
25.02.21	Bursaspor - Menemenspor	0:1
22.10.20	Menemenspor - Bursaspor	2:1
12.07.20	Bursaspor - Menemenspor	2:2

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