Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 21

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Maulí (Antequera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Antequera		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.1	5.5
	1.68	3.25	5.3
	1.7	3.33	5.46
	1.77	3.16	5.28	Watch
	1.62	3.1	5
	1.65	3.18	5.6
	1.66	3.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.82)	3.19 ↓ (3.22)	5.31 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antequera
54.4%

Draw
28.5%

Atlético Sanluqueño
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

28.9%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

27%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antequera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antequera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Antequera - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Alcover D. (G) 2. Anton J. 22. Quintana A. 4. Barbu 14. Sanchez E. 23. Diz Acena R. 20. Aspra J. 10. Luismi Gutierrez (C) 17. Parra M. 9. Ribeiro 11. Siddiki O.	13. Dominguez R. (G) 2. Sola Villalba R. 12. Ukwuije N. 30. Barea P. 7. Kikin (C) 21. Satoca D. 10. Feria J. 16. Tounkara N. 17. Rodri 24. Ajouaou V. 20. Lobede U.
Substitutes
28. Cabrera M. 21. Chit O. 12. Garreta F. 16. Gene A. 27. Maldonado R. 30. Morales I. (G) 1. Perez S. (G) 6. Ramos D. 24. Rivas L.	4. Almagro S. 9. Alvarez I. 29. Cardona G. 15. Denia M. 8. Gallastegui J. 23. Gomez A. 19. Juarez A. 22. Lopez R. 28. Moreno F. 5. Niza S. 11. Simon L. 35. Valencia F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Lobede U. 🟨,
26', Tounkara N. 🟨,
39', Siddiki O. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Diz Acena R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tounkara N. ↓, Alvarez I. ↑,
46', Feria J. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Luismi Gutierrez ⚽, Diz Acena R. (A),
60', Kikin ↓, Almagro S. ↑,
60', Satoca D. ↓, Gallastegui J. ↑,
69', Parra M. ↓, Gene A. ↑,
78', Lobede U. ↓, Niza S. ↑,
84', Diz Acena R. ↓, Ramos D. ↑,
84', Siddiki O. ↓, Rivas L. ↑,
84', Ribeiro ↓, Chit O. ↑,
90', Ajouaou V. ↓, Denia M. ↑,
90+1', Luismi Gutierrez ↓, Cabrera M. ↑,
90+7', Aspra J. ↓, Maldonado R. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antequera won 4.

Recent performances by Antequera have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sanluqueño is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Antequera is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Antequera won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Antequera won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Antequera	6	2	3	1	10:8	2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Antequera - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.06%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.01.26	Alcorcón - Antequera	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Antequera - Atlético Madrid B	2:4 ✺
03.01.26	Teruel - Antequera	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Antequera - Gimnástic de Tarragona	4:2 ✺
12.12.25	CE Europa - Antequera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWWL
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.01.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Eldense - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Murcia	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Sevilla B - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Hércules	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.10.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Antequera	1:3
30.03.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Antequera	4:2
27.10.24	Antequera - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0
14.04.24	Antequera - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:1
24.09.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Antequera	0:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.05.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Antequera	4:2
08.01.23	Antequera - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0

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